A method for real-time GLE modeling
26 Oct 2011
1Polar Geophysical Institute, KSC Russian Academy of Sciences, Apatity, Russia
Abstract. By now real time systems of data collection of neutron monitor network have been created. The main goal of such systems is early detection of dangerous events of space weather, such as GLE, caused by arrival to the Earth of relativistic solar protons. Characteristics of these particles are determined from the data of the worldwide neutron monitor network by methods of GLE modeling. Traditional GLE modeling requires data of no less than 30–35 stations and takes a long time of computations. We developed a truncated technique of solar proton spectrum determination by data of limited number (20–25) of neutron monitor stations and with a simplified procedure of computations adapted for operative diagnostics of relativistic solar protons just arriving to the Earth. Possibilities of this truncated GLE modeling for the early forecast of radiation-dangerous fluxes of solar particles with moderate energies are also shown.